FIRE Number for Tucson, United States
United States
Desert Sunshine, Low Costs, and 350 Days of Blue Sky
Tucson is one of the most affordable cities in the American West, offering stunning Sonoran Desert landscapes, a UNESCO-designated food scene, and over 350 days of sunshine per year. Arizona has a flat income tax rate that keeps more money in your pocket, and housing costs are remarkably low compared to Phoenix and other Sun Belt cities. For FIRE retirees who love warm weather and wide-open spaces, Tucson is a hidden gem.
Lean FIRE, FIRE, and Fat FIRE for Tucson
Needed to retire here is the portfolio that, in a historical backtest, would have lasted your retirement at your chosen confidence and length. Status is the verdict for your portfolio. The 4% rule benchmark is shown underneath each figure for reference only.
Enter your real monthly healthcare cost and we'll use it across all lifestyle tiers — handy for VA/TriCare (enter 0) or when your ACA cost differs from our estimate.
| Lifestyle | Needed to retire here | Monthly Cost |
|---|---|---|
| Lean FIRE | $1.02M | $3,400/mo |
| FIRE | $1.74M | $5,800/mo |
| Fat FIRE | $4.17M | $13,900/mo |
Cost of Living Breakdown for Tucson
All cost and FIRE figures assume a single adult.
Lean FIRE Lifestyle
$1.02MA one-bedroom casita near Midtown or Sam Hughes, cooking at home most nights supplemented by cheap and excellent taquerias, and a paid-off car. Tucson's low rents make this one of the more comfortable $1M cities in the US. Sabino Canyon and Saguaro National Park provide free outdoor recreation year-round. The main budget watch is summer A/C -- electricity bills spike from June through September -- but the rest of the year is utility-light.
FIRE Lifestyle
$1.74MA three-bedroom home with a pool in the Catalina Foothills or Oro Valley, regular fine dining at Tucson's best restaurants, and a late-model SUV. Premium health insurance, a resort or country club membership, and regular road trips to Sedona and the Grand Canyon are all within budget. Tucson's low costs mean $10K a month goes far here -- you live comfortably in a desirable area with real room for travel and hobbies.
Fat FIRE Lifestyle
$4.17MA large desert property with guest house and mountain views, a cook who comes in several times a week, full-time domestic help, and top-tier concierge healthcare with access to the Mayo Clinic in Scottsdale. You travel first class, keep multiple vehicles, and dine out without thinking about the bill. Tucson's low cost of living means this budget creates enormous margin -- enough for a second property, regular charitable giving to conservation and arts organizations, and travel throughout the year.
Retirement Confidence
The 4% rule is a great starting point. Here we go a step further and test your plan against real market history.
Enter your portfolio on the homepage to backtest a retirement in Tucson against market history.
Backtest detail
How this is calculated
This is a real historical backtest. We run your plan through every retirement-length window in US market history (1871–2022): a 75% stock / 25% bond portfolio, rebalanced annually, with withdrawals raised each year for that period's actual inflation. The success rate is the share of those historical start years in which the money lasted the full length without running out.
Your confidence level sets the bar: at Balanced (90%), a survival rate of 90% or more reads "You can retire here", within 10 points below is "Close — worth a closer look", and lower is "Not quite yet". The same level sizes the "Needed to retire here" target. Retirement length also drives it — early retirees planning 40–50+ years see lower survival than the 30-year baseline.
Healthcare, Visa & City Overview
MST (UTC-7, no daylight saving time)
USD
English / Spanish widely spoken
70°F / 21°C
150+ Mbps average
Tucson International Airport (TUS)
Frequently Asked Questions About Retiring in Tucson
What is the FIRE Number for Tucson, United States?
The FIRE Number for Tucson ranges from $1.02M (Lean FIRE lifestyle) to $4.17M (Fat FIRE lifestyle). A FIRE retirement requires a portfolio of approximately $1.74M, based on estimated monthly costs of $5,800 and a 4% safe withdrawal rate.
How much does it cost to retire in Tucson?
Monthly living costs in Tucson range from $3,400 (Lean FIRE) to $5,800 (FIRE), covering housing, dining, groceries, healthcare, transportation, entertainment, and utilities.
What is healthcare like in Tucson for retirees?
Healthcare in Tucson costs approximately $650 to $650/month depending on coverage level. ACA marketplace Silver plan; Arizona premiums are moderate.
What is the weather like in Tucson?
Hot desert with mild winters; summers exceed 100°F but humidity is very low The average temperature is 70°F / 21°C.
How safe is Tucson for retirees?
Moderate – varies by neighborhood; central and northeast areas are safest
How Tucson Compares
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